Zero-emission vehicles - International Council on Clean Transportation https://theicct.org/decarbonizing/zero-emission-vehicles/ Independent research to benefit public health and mitigate climate change Thu, 15 Aug 2024 12:39:58 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.6.1 https://theicct.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/favicon-150x150.png Zero-emission vehicles - International Council on Clean Transportation https://theicct.org/decarbonizing/zero-emission-vehicles/ 32 32 Total cost of ownership parity between battery-electric trucks and diesel trucks in India https://theicct.org/publication/tco-bet-hdde-india-aug24/ Wed, 14 Aug 2024 18:51:54 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=46305 This study compares the TCO of internal combustion engine (ICE) diesel trucks and BETs in four segments—the 12-tonne, 16-tonne, 28-tonne and 42-tonne rigid truck—that have accounted for approximately 70% of the Indian truck market in recent years.

The post Total cost of ownership parity between battery-electric trucks and diesel trucks in India appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>

Executive summary

Medium- and heavy-duty trucks play a critical role in India’s economy. They are also a major source of greenhouse gas emissions. While they constitute only 3% of the on-road vehicle fleet in India, they contribute 44% road transport sector of well-to-wheel CO2 emissions. Looking ahead, the adoption of zero-emission trucks—including battery electric trucks (BETs) and fuel-cell electric trucks—is critical to India’s pursuit of its Paris Agreement commitments and to achieving its goal of net-zero emissions by 2070. While the Government of India has provided growing support for the electrification of other vehicle segments, the truck segment could benefit from additional policy support in the form of fuel-economy regulations and incentives.

The zero-emission truck market in India remains at an early stage. A handful of manufacturers have introduced BET models and several plans to pilot BETs, but electric vehicle (EV) penetration among trucks continues to lag that of other segments. As India transitions to electric trucks, assessing total cost of ownership (TCO)—which considers both upfront and operational costs—will be critical to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of BETs and design policies to support their widespread adoption.

In this context, this study compares the TCO of internal combustion engine (ICE) diesel trucks and BETs in four segments—the 12-tonne, 16-tonne, 28-tonne and 42-tonne rigid truck—that have accounted for approximately 70% of the Indian truck market in recent years. Drawing on primary data and interviews with seven fleet operators on use cases, driving patterns, and operating costs, we use vehicle simulation tools to estimate the fuel consumption of diesel trucks and BETs operating on test cycles developed using real-world activity and we project vehicle fuel economy improvement over time, considering expected technology development. Additionally, we use primary cost data on EV components obtained from an EY Parthenon study commissioned by the International Council on Clean Transportation to determine the upfront costs of BETs in India and project them through 2040.

Figure A. TCO projections and cost parity of all four truck models

Key findings

  • Based on bottom-up cost estimation, the upfront costs of BETs are 4–6 times those of diesel trucks in model year (MY) 2023 and are projected to fall by MY 2040 to 1.2–1.4 times the cost for the 12-tonne, 16-tonne, and 28-tonne trucks and 2 times the cost for 42-tonne trucks. This estimated cost gap in MY 2023 is higher than that for BETs currently deployed in India, which are 2–3 times more expensive than diesel counterparts upfront. Deployed BETs are primarily used in pilot applications with a more limited range than the diverse operations in which diesel trucks are currently employed. The BETs analyzed in this report, therefore, more accurately represent real-world operations and performance demands. Declining battery prices and fuel economy improvements that lead to smaller battery sizes, are the primary factors contributing to the projected gradual decline in the upfront cost of BETs; incremental costs associated with the deployment of fuel economy improvement technologies increase the upfront cost of diesel trucks over time.
  • BETs will reach TCO parity with diesel trucks in this decade without direct incentives, but policy support can help drive down costs. The expected decline in battery costs (65% between 2023 and 2040), coupled with lower energy costs due to fuel economy improvements, will allow BETs to reach TCO parity with diesel trucks within the next 5 years. For high volume and low weight applications, where payload impact is irrelevant, TCO parity can be achieved by 2027. However, a robust policy ecosystem including fuel economy regulations and incentives are critical to driving down costs.
  • Stringent fuel consumption regulations can encourage the adoption of BETs and improve their cost-effectiveness compared to diesel trucks. Such regulations would necessitate the deployment of fuel consumption improvement technologies that could increase the upfront cost of diesel trucks by 2030 (by 62%–89% for 12-tonne, 16-tonne, and 28-tonne trucks) compared to the business-as-usual scenario. As a result, the TCO savings offered by BETs in 2030 increase from a projected 7%–12% in a business-as-usual scenario to 20%–26% in a scenario with stringent fuel consumption regulations.
  • Incentives such as purchase subsidies, interest rate subventions, road tax and toll waivers, and gross vehicle weight (GVW) relaxation for BETs result in TCO parity between MY 2023 BETs and diesel trucks in the 12-tonne, 16-tonne, and 28-tonne segments and nearly close the TCO gap for 42-tonne trucks. We consider a purchase subsidy of ₹20,000/kWh (capped at ₹50 lakhs), equal to that provided for the purchase of electric buses under the second phase of the Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles (FAME) scheme. Additionally, we consider a 5% interest rate subvention, in line with Delhi’s state-level EV policy; a 100% road tax waiver, as adopted by most Indian states for EVs; a 100% toll waiver, as implemented in Germany; and a GVW relaxation of 2 tonnes, in line with European Union regulations. These incentives substantially bridge the gap in TCO between diesel trucks and BETs.
  • By MY 2030, BETs are estimated to have a lower TCO than their diesel counterparts for all daily driving distances from 200–700 km; however, a robust network of charging infrastructure would maximize the TCO savings of BETs. The battery electric powertrain is about 65% more fuel efficient than the diesel powertrain. Accordingly, BET energy costs are much lower than those of diesel trucks. While higher daily driving range requirements lead to higher battery design ranges and upfront costs, they are offset by lower energy expenses. Fuel cost is a major contributor to the TCO of diesel trucks; higher driving ranges increase those expenses, resulting in a higher TCO for diesel trucks relative to BETs. The TCO savings for BETs can be maximized by the optimal sizing of batteries such that battery range is smaller than daily travel demand and en-route charging meets additional distance demand.
Figure B. Impact of stringent fuel consumption regulation on TCO

Policy recommendations

  • To promote BET uptake, the government could consider introducing stringent fuel consumption regulations, which could significantly increase the cost-effectiveness of BETs. Deploying fuel efficient technologies to meet an ambitious fuel consumption regulatory scenario is projected to substantially increase the upfront cost of diesel trucks, by 62%–89% for 12-tonne, 16-tonne, and 28-tonne diesel trucks and 27% for the 42-tonne truck in MY 2030. Thus, on a TCO basis, while the diesel trucks in MY 2030 benefit from lower fuel costs due to fuel economy improvement technologies, the cost of these incremental technologies offset any potential fuel cost savings. As a result, the TCO of the BETs is even more attractive, 20%–37% lower depending on the truck type compared to 19%–29% lower assuming business-as-usual fuel economy improvement.
  • Existing national and sub-national incentives could be extended to BETs to lower the TCO of BETs compared to diesel trucks. Both national and state-level EV policies in India have focused on light-duty vehicles and buses. Targeting medium- and heavy-duty trucks with a ₹20,000/kWh purchase subsidy, interest rate subvention, road-tax waiver, and an additional toll fee waiver can reduce the TCO in MY 2023 by 25%–37%, bridging the gap in the TCO of BETs and diesel trucks substantially.
  • Gross vehicle weight regulations could be relaxed for BETs (as they are in other markets) to help reduce the TCO gap between BETs and diesel trucks. BETs in model year 2023 face a payload penalty of 15%–20%. If India relaxes GVW regulations for BETs by 2 tonnes, in line with policies in the EU, we find this payload loss is eliminated in the 12-tonne and 16-tonne BETs and reduces to 11%–13% for the 28-tonne and 42-tonne BETs. This positively impacts TCO, shifting the TCO parity year forward from 2028–2030 to 2026–2028.
  • Enhancing the EV charging infrastructure network would help promote BETs. We find that the TCO of BETs that rely on en-route charging is lower than the TCO of BETs with batteries designed to meet full daily travel demand. The impact is significant, such that the TCO parity year can be shifted up by 2–4 years across the different truck segments analyzed. The Ministry of Power has identified 25 national highways and expressways to be prioritized for setting up charging infrastructure (MoP, 2022). Additionally, it has also provided guidelines on power levels, standards, and distance between two charging stations for HDVs. The Ministry of Heavy Industries, meanwhile, has further provided ₹1,000 crore of funds to set up about 10,000 EV chargers in the country (Narde, 2023). Continuing to pursue these efforts, with the aim of ensuring adequate availability of high-power DC fast chargers suited for electric HDVs along freight corridors, could help lower the TCO of BETs for a broader range of applications and thereby spur the development of India’s BET ecosystem.
  • States could provide preferential electricity rates for users and utilities to help maintain lower levelized costs of charging for users. Many states have introduced preferential electricity rates for electricity supply to EV chargers, ranging between ₹4/kWh and ₹9kWh. Lower electricity rates can help shift the TCO parity year sooner. This highlights that states can play an important role in closing TCO gaps between BETs and diesel trucks and helping to kickstart India’s BET transition.
For media and press inquiries, please contact Anandi Mishra, India Communications Manager, at communications@theicct.org.

The post Total cost of ownership parity between battery-electric trucks and diesel trucks in India appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Climate and air quality benefits from accelerating electrification for Guangdong’s on-road transportation https://theicct.org/publication/climate-and-air-quality-benefits-from-accelerating-electrification-for-guangdongs-on-road-transportation-aug24/ Wed, 14 Aug 2024 04:01:21 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=44768 Long-term zero-emission vehicle sales targets can contribute greatly to accelerate Guangdong’s on-road electrification, and more importantly, it can bring significantly climate and air quality benefits and help the province reach its 2035 environmental goals.

The post Climate and air quality benefits from accelerating electrification for Guangdong’s on-road transportation appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Guangdong has been one of China’s leading markets for new energy vehicles (NEVs), particularly zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs). This report demonstrates that a faster electrification of Guangdong’s on-road transportation is essential for Guangdong to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve air quality, and achieve its environmental targets by 2035.

The study conducts an emission inventory study of Guangdong’s on-road transportation considering current announced or proposed ZEV sales targets in China and Guangdong, and accelerated electrification which is 90% ZEV share in all new sales in 2035. Based on the emission inventory results, an air quality study is followed to estimate the benefits on improving NO2, PM2.5 and ozone pollution in Guangdong province.

Under an accelerated electrification scenario, Guangdong could see a 31% reduction in well-to-wheel greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 compared to a business-as-usual scenario. Additionally, accelerated electrification of on-road vehicles could bring as much as 10 μg/m3 NO2 reductions, 3 μg/m3 PM2.5 reductions and 5 μg/m3 ozone reductions across Guangdong province.

Our study also provides a package of policy recommendations for Guangdong to promote their on-road electrification, including setting long-term zero-emission vehicle sales targets like 90% by 2025, including specific targets for heavy-duty fleets by use case, leveraging the resources of multiple government agencies to explore effective incentive policies like zero-emission zones, infrastructures development, etc.

The post Climate and air quality benefits from accelerating electrification for Guangdong’s on-road transportation appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Cuantificación de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero evitadas por autobuses eléctricos en Latinoamérica: metodología simplificada de análisis de ciclo de vida https://theicct.org/publication/es-quantifying-avoided-ghg-emissions-by-e-buses-in-latin-america-aug24/ Wed, 07 Aug 2024 04:04:25 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=45883 Presenta la nueva metodología de cálculos de la plataforma E-Bus Radar, con el desarrollo de una evaluación del ciclo de vida para estimar las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero evitadas con la introducción de autobuses eléctricos a batería y trolebuses en ciudades de América Latina.

The post Cuantificación de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero evitadas por autobuses eléctricos en Latinoamérica: metodología simplificada de análisis de ciclo de vida appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
La plataforma E-Bus Radar (www.ebusradar.org) acompaña la implementación de autobuses eléctricos a batería (BEBs) y trolebuses en los sistemas de transporte público de las ciudades latinoamericanas, y sus reducciones asociadas en las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero en comparación con los modelos convencionales. La plataforma fue creada y es mantenida por la asociación Zero Emission Bus Rapid-deployment Accelerator (ZEBRA), co-liderada por el Consejo Internacional de Transporte Limpio (ICCT) y la organización C40 Cities.

Este trabajo presenta la nueva metodología de cálculos de la plataforma E-Bus Radar, con el desarrollo de una evaluación del ciclo de vida (ECV) para estimar las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero evitadas con la introducción de autobuses eléctricos a batería y trolebuses. Con esta actualización, los resultados obtenidos contabilizan las emisiones de escape y las emisiones asociadas a la fabricación del vehículo y de la batería, al mantenimiento del vehículo y a la producción de combustible y electricidad, teniendo en cuenta valores específicos de los países de América Latina.

Los autobuses se clasifican en cinco categorías: trolebuses de 12 a 15 m, trolebuses de más de 18 m, BEBs de 8 a 11 m, BEBs de 12 a 15 m y BEBs de más de 18 m. Para cada categoría y ciudad, las emisiones calculadas se estiman en base a la información técnica y operativa proporcionada por las autoridades de transporte público y los fabricantes.

El financiamiento para este trabajo fue generosamente proporcionado por el Instituto Clima y Sociedad (iCS).

The post Cuantificación de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero evitadas por autobuses eléctricos en Latinoamérica: metodología simplificada de análisis de ciclo de vida appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Quantificação das emissões de gases de efeito estufa evitadas por ônibus elétricos na América Latina: uma metodologia simplificada de avaliação do ciclo de vida https://theicct.org/publication/pt-quantifying-avoided-ghg-emissions-by-e-buses-in-latin-america-aug24/ Wed, 07 Aug 2024 04:03:11 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=45880 Apresenta a nova metodologia de cálculos da plataforma E-Bus Radar, com o desenvolvimento de uma avaliação do ciclo de vida para estimar as emissões de gases de efeito estufa evitadas com a introdução de ônibus elétricos a bateria e trólebus em cidades da América Latina.

The post Quantificação das emissões de gases de efeito estufa evitadas por ônibus elétricos na América Latina: uma metodologia simplificada de avaliação do ciclo de vida appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
A plataforma E-Bus Radar (www.ebusradar.org) acompanha a implementação de ônibus elétricos a bateria e trolébus nos sistemas de transporte público das cidades latino-americanas, e suas reduções associadas nas emissões de gases de efeito estufa em comparação aos modelos convencionais. A plataforma foi criada e é mantida pela parceria Zero Emission Bus Rapid-deployment Accelerator (ZEBRA), co-liderada pelo Conselho Internacional de Transporte Limpo (ICCT) e a organização C40 Cities.

Este trabalho apresenta a nova metodologia de cálculos da plataforma E-Bus Radar, com o desenvolvimento de uma avaliação do ciclo de vida (ACV) para estimar as emissões de gases de efeito estufa evitadas com a introdução de ônibus elétricos a bateria (BEBs) e trólebus. Com esta atualização, os resultados obtidos contabilizam as emissões de escapamento e as emissões associadas à fabricação do veículo e da bateria, à manutenção do veículo e à produção de combustível e eletricidade, levando em consideração valores específicos de países na América Latina.

Os ônibus são classificados em cinco categorias: trólebus de 12 a 15 m, trólebus acima de 18 m, BEBs de 8 a 11 m, BEBs de 12 a 15 m e BEBs acima de 18 m. Para cada categoria e cidade, as emissões calculadas são estimadas com base em informações técnicas e operacionais fornecidas pelas autoridades de transporte público e pelos fabricantes.

O financiamento para este trabalho foi generosamente fornecido pelo Instituto Clima e Sociedade (iCS).

The post Quantificação das emissões de gases de efeito estufa evitadas por ônibus elétricos na América Latina: uma metodologia simplificada de avaliação do ciclo de vida appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Quantifying avoided greenhouse gas emissions by E-Buses in Latin America: a simplified life-cycle assessment methodology https://theicct.org/publication/quantifying-avoided-ghg-emissions-by-e-buses-in-latin-america-a-simplified-life-cycle-assessment-methodology-aug24/ Wed, 07 Aug 2024 04:02:12 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=45346 Presents the updated methodology used by the of the E-Bus Radar platform, which now includes a life-cycle assessment to estimate the greenhouse gas emissions avoided with the introduction of battery electric buses and trolleybuses in Latin American cities.

The post Quantifying avoided greenhouse gas emissions by E-Buses in Latin America: a simplified life-cycle assessment methodology appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
The E-Bus Radar platform (www.ebusradar.org) monitors the implementation of battery electric buses (BEBs) and trolleybuses in the public transport systems of Latin American cities, and their associated reductions in greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional models. The platform was created and is maintained by the Zero Emission Bus Rapid-deployment Accelerator (ZEBRA) partnership, co-led by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) and C40 Cities.

This work presents the updated methodology used by the E-Bus Radar platform to estimate greenhouse gas emissions avoided with the introduction of battery electric buses and trolleybuses. With this update, which includes the application of a life-cycle assessment, the results obtained account for exhaust emissions and emissions associated with vehicle and battery manufacturing, vehicle maintenance, and fuel and electricity production. The methodology uses country-specific values to provide reliable life-cycle emission estimates tailored to the local market.

The buses are classified into five categories: trolleybuses from 12 to 15 m, trolleybuses over 18 m, BEBs from 8 to 11 m, BEBs from 12 to 15 m, and BEBs over 18 m. For each category and city, the calculated emissions are estimated based on technical and operational information provided by public transport authorities and manufacturers.

The funding for this work was generously provided by the Instituto Clima e Sociedade (iCS).

Read this paper in Spanish or Portuguese.

The post Quantifying avoided greenhouse gas emissions by E-Buses in Latin America: a simplified life-cycle assessment methodology appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
What 3 years of driving an electric car taught me about range “serenity” and energy consumption https://theicct.org/what-3-years-of-driving-an-electric-car-taught-me-about-range-serenity-and-energy-consumption-july24/ Mon, 08 Jul 2024 22:00:48 +0000 https://theicct.org/?p=44784 ICCT Europe Director Peter Mock shares his 3-year experience of driving an electric car and examines the differences between real-world and official energy consumption values.

The post What 3 years of driving an electric car taught me about range “serenity” and energy consumption appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>

It’s been more than 2 years since I described here how I selected a battery electric car model to meet my personal needs: a retail price below €50,000, a type-approval electric range of more than 300 km, and a fast-charging capability of at least 150 kW. In a few weeks, I’ll return my vehicle to the dealer as it’s the end of the 3-year lease period.

So, how was it? In short, pretty uneventful. I never suffered from range anxiety. Most of the time my battery range was more than enough just relying on my Wallbox charger at home. And if I really needed some extra juice, there was always a public charger nearby. I’d describe my experience as one of range serenity instead of range anxiety.

My experience matches the conclusions of a recent ICCT study which found that a car with a battery on the smaller end of the range of capacities on the market is sufficient for the vast majority of urban and rural car drivers. I feel that driving an electric car nowadays is not substantially different from driving a conventional combustion engine car, except that the electric car is quieter, cleaner, and the exceptionally strong torque is more fun to drive!

What about the real-world energy consumption of my electric car? From previous analyses we know there’s roughly a 14% gap between official (Worldwide Harmonized Light Vehicles Test Procedure [WLTP]) values and real-world fuel consumption and CO2 values for conventional gasoline and diesel cars. For plug-in hybrids, the difference is larger and these typically consume three to five times more fuel than advertised by official test values. In the European Union, all new combustion engine vehicles must report anonymized real-world consumption values via on-board fuel consumption meters and statistically meaningful results are accessible to the public. Battery electric vehicles are still exempt, though, and that unfortunately leaves us with a data and knowledge gap.

I kept track of my own real-world consumption values and Figure 1 summarizes my observations. For this chart, I also used data from Spritmonitor.de, a free public platform that’s well known and commonly used among vehicle owners, especially in Germany where I live. Based on a total 13,000 km of driving and a total of 2.4 MWh of electricity that I tracked as part of 50 re-charging events over more than 2 years, my average real-world electricity consumption was 18.7 kWh/100 km. The fluctuation throughout the year is interesting: During the summer months, my average consumption was as low as 14 kWh/100 km, and in December the average was nearly 26 kWh/100 km. It’s also important to note that my electric vehicle is equipped with a heat pump that uses electric energy more efficiently to heat the cabin and battery in winter.

Figure 1. Energy consumption values for my electric car over more than 2 years, from left to right: monthly average variation, official WLTP value, my own real-world consumption, average on-board computer value, and average reporting of Spritmonitor users.

Compared with other drivers on Spritmonitor who have the same vehicle model configuration (58 kWh battery, 125 kW electric engine), I am pretty much average. Leaving two extreme outliers aside, there are 18 other Spritmonitor users who reported average energy consumption values between 18.4 and 23.1 kWh/100 km, with an aggregated average of 19 kWh/100 km. 

Comparing my own real-world energy consumption with the official WLTP type-approval value (16.7 kWh/100 km), I am about 12% above. There isn’t much data from Europe to compare my findings with, but in a comprehensive study from China, my ICCT colleagues found a real-world energy consumption gap of around 10%–20% with WLTP for most passenger cars, and my 12% falls nicely into that range. And it’s re-assuring that the real-world gap for my electric car is a bit lower than the 14% we found for combustion engine cars in a recent study

What I find worrying, though, is what I consider to be a large gap between the average energy consumption value the on-board computer of my car shows (15.6 kWh/100 km) and the real-world value I observed. This difference is about 19%. Most likely, the most important contributing factor here are losses in the on-board charger of the vehicle that occur when re-charging at an A/C charger such as the 11 kW Wallbox I have at home. According to studies, these charging losses add about 17.5% on average to the real-world energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle. 

A closer look at my typical driving patterns helps understand my real-world energy consumption and how an electric vehicle works in practice. Figure 2 shows my most typical driving pattern, an inner-urban trip through the flat suburban surroundings of Berlin of about 20 minutes driving and 10 km one-way distance. I take this kind of trip about four times per week, back and forth, and that adds up to about 4,000 km per year. As shown in the figure, velocity jumps up and down—there are many stops, and my maximum speed was about 60 km/h. During these trips, the state of charge of the vehicle’s battery only drops by about 2 percentage points. 

Figure 2. My most typical driving pattern, an inner-urban trip. The blue line shows vehicle speed over time and the red line shows the state of charge of the vehicle’s battery.

My second-most-frequent driving pattern is an approximately 50 km trip of nearly an hour duration (Figure 3); it starts in the mostly rural area just outside of Berlin and then I slowly make my way through the crowded streets of Potsdam, and finally there’s some highway driving through Brandenburg. The maximum speed is 120 km/h, and the battery state of charge drops by about 14 percentage points. I take this kind of trip, back and forth, about once per week and it adds up to about 5,000 km per year. 

Figure 3. A typical extra-urban trip (with a portion of urban driving) that I take about once per week. The blue line shows vehicle speed over time and the red line shows the state of charge of the vehicle’s battery.

For both trip types, the range of my vehicle is fully sufficient. Indeed, I typically deplete the battery by only about one-third per week and end up re-charging once every 2 or 3 weeks. Therefore, for most of the year, a vehicle with a smaller battery would satisfy my needs, and that’s fully in line with the findings of our recent ICCT report modeling different electric vehicle configurations and user types.

About twice per year I take a long-distance trip to Southern Germany. This ends up being 550 km of driving one way, most of that on the highway, and speeds get up to 170 km/h. Due to the high highway energy consumption of my vehicle, I do two re-charging stops of about 25 minutes each—barely enough to go to the toilet and eat a snack. At the end, I plug the car into an A/C Wallbox so it can slowly re-charge overnight.

Figure 4. A typical long-distance trip I take about twice per year. The blue line shows vehicle speed over time and the red line shows the state of charge of the vehicle’s battery.

All told, I drive about 10,000 km per year, and this is about 50% urban, 40% extra-urban, and 10% highway. Compared with the WLTP type-approval cycle, I perform less highway and more city driving, and that could explain why my real-world energy consumption is only 12% higher than the official value. According to Green NCAP, for example, my vehicle model has an average energy consumption of 30.2 kWh/100 km for highway driving; this results in an average energy consumption of 22.5 kWh/100 km or 35% higher than the type-approval value.

A large variability in the differences between real-world and type-approval energy consumption of electric cars was also reported in a recent test summary by the German car drivers association ADAC. The ADAC results show that it’s not only personal driving patterns that matter but also the effort a manufacturer puts into optimizing the vehicle toward real-world driving rather than the official test procedure. This, I find, is a good argument for future regulation of real-world energy consumption.

Author

Peter Mock
Europe Managing Director / Regional Lead

Related Publications

THE BIGGER THE BETTER? HOW BATTERY SIZE AFFECTS REAL-WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION, COST OF OWNERSHIP, AND LIFE- CYCLE EMISSIONS OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES

Assesses the impact of varying battery sizes on the real-world energy consumption, cost of ownership, and life-cycle emissions of electric vehicles.

Zero-emission vehicles
Europe

The post What 3 years of driving an electric car taught me about range “serenity” and energy consumption appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
零排放货车实际应用案例:中国陕西省榆林市的煤炭运输货车 https://theicct.org/publication/ch-yulin-zet-jul24/ Mon, 08 Jul 2024 16:01:54 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=44556 研究分析了换电重卡在中国陕西省榆林市煤炭运输场景中的实际运营和经济效益表现,同时为零排放货车在重污染行业的进一步部署提出了一些政策建议。

The post 零排放货车实际应用案例:中国陕西省榆林市的煤炭运输货车 appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Read the English version。

本文对2019至2022年期间陕西省的重型零排放货车市场以及榆林市阳伙盘煤矿中零排放货车的使用情况进行了评估。研究基于对零排放货车实际应用场景运行状况和性能的调研。评估了纯电牵引车的总拥有成本和经济性。

此外,本研究骇对换电重卡的不同购买模式进行了比较,尤其是使用“租电模式”(BaaS) 的换电重卡在经济性上的表现。相对于直接购买整车,“租电模式”为买方提供了经济灵活性,可以将大部分的前置资本支出后置到使用过程中。

我们的研究展示了零排放重卡在煤炭运输的应用场景中的性能和效益,以及创新的购买模式的优势。同时,研究也发现了零排放重卡进一步发展面临的一些挑战,例如“亏吨”现象。决策方还需要思考更加灵活的政策激励进一步推动零排放重卡的实际应用。

The post 零排放货车实际应用案例:中国陕西省榆林市的煤炭运输货车 appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Interactive phase-out map: Light-duty vehicles https://theicct.org/phase-out-map-ldv/ Fri, 05 Jul 2024 04:00:16 +0000 https://theicct.org/?p=22867 The post Interactive phase-out map: Light-duty vehicles appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>

The post Interactive phase-out map: Light-duty vehicles appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Krithika P. R. https://theicct.org/team-member/krithika-p-r/ Mon, 01 Jul 2024 18:46:41 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=44695 Krithika brings 14+ years of diverse experience in research and consulting in electric mobility, energy access and power sector. She has worked on different areas in E mobility including market assessments, feasibility studies, policy analysis, skilling and implementation of pilots. She has worked with Governments of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Delhi, Gujarat, on policy issues […]

The post Krithika P. R. appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Krithika brings 14+ years of diverse experience in research and consulting in electric mobility, energy access and power sector. She has worked on different areas in E mobility including market assessments, feasibility studies, policy analysis, skilling and implementation of pilots. She has worked with Governments of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Delhi, Gujarat, on policy issues in the transport and energy sector.

She has previously worked with RTI India, CLEAN, Meghraj Capital Advisors Pvt Ltd and TERI. She holds a Masters in Business Economics and a Bachelors Degree in Mathematics from the University of Delhi.

The post Krithika P. R. appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>
Electric vehicle demand incentives in India: The FAME II scheme and considerations for a potential next phase https://theicct.org/publication/electric-vehicle-demand-incentives-in-india-the-fame-ii-scheme-and-considerations-for-a-potential-next-phase-june24/ Mon, 01 Jul 2024 18:30:16 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=44217 This study offers insights on the second phase of Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Hybrid and Electric Vehicles (FAME), India’s flagship electric vehicle (EV) promotion program, and presents policy considerations for future demand incentives and other government support for EV adoption.

The post Electric vehicle demand incentives in India: The FAME II scheme and considerations for a potential next phase appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>

Executive summary

India’s transport sector is a major contributor to the country’s energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and is the fastest-growing source of carbon emissions in the country. For India to achieve its commitment toward limiting global warming to below 2 °C, the phaseout of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle sales by 2045 is imperative.

Electric vehicles (EVs) are the single most important technology for the decarbonization of the transport sector. India has been actively promoting the uptake of EVs, including through the flagship Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles (FAME) scheme, which aims to accelerate the uptake of EVs, primarily through the provision of fiscal incentives to EV buyers. The scheme’s second phase, FAME II, was launched in April 2019 with an initial budget outlay of ₹10,000 crore, later increased to ₹11,500 crore; it concluded in March 2024. In this study, we offer insights into the FAME II scheme. Further, we examine the impact of FAME II purchase subsidies on the cost dynamics of EVs and explore the opportunity of extending such subsidies to segments that are yet to be covered under the scheme. Based on this analysis, we develop policy recommendations for a possible third phase of the program.

As presented in Figure ES1, 69% of the funds earmarked under FAME II were utilized over the duration of the program.

Figure ES1. Status of FAME II fund utilization in fiscal years 2019–2020 to 2023–2024

Under the scheme’s segment-specific targets regarding the number of vehicles to be supported, which were revised in February 2024, electric two-wheelers had a target achievement of 75% (see Table ES1). Meanwhile, the three-wheeler segment achieved 84% of its target, the passenger car segment achieved 55%, and the bus segment achieved 66%.

Table ES1. Target number of vehicles to be incentivized under the FAME II scheme and target achievement following February 2024 revision

Vehicle segment  Target number of vehicles to be supported per original outlay  Target number of vehicles to be supported per revised outlay  Number of vehicles supported  Vehicles incentivized as a percentage of revised targets 
Two-wheelers  1,000,000  1,550,225  1,170,241   
Three-wheelers  500,000  155,536  130,283   
Four-wheelers  55,000  30,461  16,631   
Bus  7,090  7,262  4,766   

Source: Ministry of Heavy Industries, Government of India (2024c)

Key findings

This report examined the FAME II EV promotion scheme in India, assessing the extent to which segment-specific incentivization targets were achieved and the impact of purchase subsidies offered under the program. Table 6 presents key observations regarding the status of fund utilization and the achievement of segment EV incentivization targets under the scheme. The uptake of EVs in the Indian market in FY 2023–2024 by segment is presented in the rightmost column. As indicated in the table, EVs accounted for just 7% of vehicle sales in India in FY 2023–2024. High upfront cost and a lack of access to financing continue to pose major challenges for the uptake of EVs in the country.

Table 6. Fund utilization and segment target achievement under FAME II

Status of funds 
  Earmarked funds  Total funds utilized   Percentage of total funds utilized  
Details of funds  ₹11,500 crore  ₹7,940 crore  69% 
Details of vehicle segment-wise incentivization targets 
  Original target number of EVs to be supported under FAME II   Target number of EVs to be supported under FAME II per revised outlay  Percentage of target achieved under FAME II per revised targets  Segment-wise market EV uptake in FY 2023–2024 
Two-wheelers   10,00,000   1,550,225  75%  5% 
Three-wheelers   5,00,000   155,536  84% 

54% 

(Passenger 3W – 14% 

Goods 3W – 26% 

E-rickshaws – 100% 

E-carts – 100%) 

Passenger cars  55,000   30,461  55%  2% 
Buses  7,090   7,262  66%  4% 
All segments  15,62,090   1,743,484  76%  7% 

Note: For the two-wheeler segment, a greater number of EVs were incentivized than was targeted under the scheme. 

FAME II prioritized the electrification of the two-wheeler and three-wheeler segments, which together accounted for 98% of vehicles targeted for incentives under the scheme. These two segments dominate the market for on-road vehicles in India . As policymakers weigh a possible third phase of FAME, they may consider enhancing efforts to incentivize EV uptake in other vehicle segments, including the private passenger car segment, private bus segment, and truck segment, which are collectively responsible for an overwhelming majority of well-to-wheel CO2 emissions in the country. Promoting the uptake of EVs in these segments could also help spur domestic demand for EV batteries in a short span of time, owing to their relatively larger battery size, and potentially facilitate a rapid reduction in EV battery prices.

Policy recommendations

If the government seeks to build on the achievements of FAME I and II, continued fiscal support aimed at overcoming these barriers could be part of an effective policy toolkit to help accelerate the EV adoption across a diverse range of consumers. The analysis above supports the following policy recommendations:

Table 7. Policy considerations for possible future incentives

 

Segment   Policy recommendations 
Two-wheelers 

To facilitate cost parity between E2Ws and conventional two-wheelers, consider offering purchase subsidies to electric two-wheelers until 2025–2027, beginning with a higher subsidy of ₹15,000/kWh of battery capacity, capped at 40% of the ex-showroom price, and gradually phase down the subsidy amount in line with EV cost reduction trends. 

 

Passenger three-wheelers 

Consider continuing purchase incentives of at least ₹10,000/kWh of battery capacity, capped at 20% of ex-showroom price, to enhance TCO and upfront cost competitiveness of electric passenger three-wheelers. 

To facilitate financing for electric passenger three-wheelers, consider offering lower interest rates, longer payback periods, and credit guarantees through notified agencies such as government banks and other financial institutions. 

Four-wheelers  Consider offering subsidies of at least ₹10,000/kWh, capped at 20% of ex-showroom price, for the purchase of private electric passenger cars. 
Buses  Consider prioritizing the electrification of private inter-city buses by facilitating access to favorable financing through interventions such as interest subvention, longer loan tenures, and credit guarantees. 
Trucks 

To accelerate BET uptake, consider offering a purchase subsidy of ₹20,000 per kWh of battery capacity, capped at 40% of ex-showroom price, for purchase of battery electric trucks.  

Consider kickstarting BET adoption through targeted purchase subsidy programs, initially focusing on trucks deployed in government operations and eventually extended to private truck fleet operators.   

For media and press inquiries, please contact Anandi Mishra, India Communications Manager, at communications@theicct.org.

The post Electric vehicle demand incentives in India: The FAME II scheme and considerations for a potential next phase appeared first on International Council on Clean Transportation.

]]>